Home & Mortgage

How Much House Can You Really Afford?

Go beyond the mortgage pre-approval number. Learn the true cost of homeownership — including taxes, insurance, and maintenance — and how to set a budget that keeps you comfortable.

Last Updated: Feb 2025

Home affordability is the realistic purchase price you can sustain long-term without compromising your financial security—not the maximum amount a lender will approve you for.

Key Takeaways

  • Bank approval is a ceiling, not a target. Lenders will often approve you for far more than you can comfortably afford. Their risk models don’t account for your retirement goals, childcare costs, or desire to actually enjoy life.
  • The true cost runs 30-50% beyond your mortgage payment. Property taxes, insurance, maintenance, utilities, and HOA fees add thousands per month that many buyers overlook until they’re already committed.
  • Location changes the math more than you’d expect. A $400,000 home in Texas and New Jersey can differ by $600+ per month in taxes and insurance alone, making “affordable” a local question.
  • The 28% rule is about housing costs, not just your mortgage. Most financial guidance caps housing at 28% of gross income—but that includes taxes, insurance, and HOA, not just principal and interest.

What Is It — Beyond the Pre-Approval Number

Buying a house is like buying a car—the sticker price is just the beginning. You wouldn’t budget for a vehicle without considering gas, insurance, maintenance, and the occasional repair bill. Yet millions of homebuyers fixate on the purchase price while ignoring the ongoing costs that actually determine whether they can afford their lifestyle. The mortgage payment is rent you pay to the bank; true homeownership costs include everything it takes to keep a roof over your head and in good condition.

The 28/36 Rule: A Useful Guardrail, Not Gospel

Lenders use the 28/36 rule as a quick gut-check: your total housing costs (principal, interest, taxes, and insurance—known as PITI) shouldn’t exceed 28% of your gross monthly income, and your total debt payments (housing plus car loans, student loans, credit cards) shouldn’t exceed 36%. These thresholds help lenders manage their risk, but they were never designed to optimize your life.

Here’s the catch: lenders will often approve you well beyond these guidelines if you have strong credit or other compensating factors. A bank might greenlight you for 35% or even 40% of your income going to housing. That doesn’t mean you should take it.

What Banks Approve

Based on your debt-to-income ratio, credit score, and ability to make payments. Doesn’t consider your other financial goals.

$100K income, good credit

Up to $450,000

~$3,100/month PITI at 38% DTI

What’s Actually Comfortable

Based on total cost of ownership, your savings goals, and maintaining financial flexibility for life’s surprises.

$100K income, balanced budget

$300,000 - $350,000

~$2,200/month all-in at 26% of gross

Beyond PITI: The True Cost of Homeownership

Your mortgage statement shows principal and interest. Your lender escrow might handle property taxes and homeowner’s insurance. But that’s still not the full picture. True housing costs include several categories that don’t show up on any single bill:

  • Maintenance and repairs: Budget 1-2% of your home’s value annually. For a $400,000 home, that’s $4,000-$8,000 per year, or $333-$667 per month set aside.
  • Utilities: Homeowners typically pay more for utilities than renters—larger spaces, full responsibility for water/sewer/trash, and no landlord subsidizing anything.
  • HOA fees: If applicable, these can range from $100 to $500+ monthly and often increase over time.
  • Lawn care, pest control, and other services: Small costs that add up to $100-$300 per month depending on your property.

The Day-One Costs Nobody Mentions

Before you even make your first mortgage payment, expect to spend 2-5% of the home price on closing costs ($8,000-$20,000 on a $400K home), plus moving expenses, utility deposits, immediate repairs or updates, and basic furnishings. Many buyers drain their emergency funds right before taking on their largest financial obligation.

Location: The Variable That Changes Everything

The same $400,000 home can cost dramatically different amounts to own depending on where it sits. Property tax rates range from 0.3% in Hawaii to over 2% in New Jersey and Illinois. Homeowner’s insurance varies by climate risk—coastal Florida and tornado-prone Oklahoma pay multiples of what someone in Utah pays. A $400,000 home might cost $2,400/month in one state and $3,200/month in another, with identical mortgage terms.

Property Taxes: A Wide Range

On a $400,000 home, annual property taxes might be $1,200 in Hawaii, $4,000 in California, $7,200 in Texas, or $9,600 in New Jersey. That’s a difference of $700/month between the lowest and highest—money that has nothing to do with your mortgage rate or down payment.

How It Works — The True Cost of Homeownership

Understanding affordability requires building up the complete monthly cost, layer by layer. Let’s walk through exactly how to calculate what a home will really cost you each month—and why the number is always higher than the mortgage payment alone.

The True Monthly Housing Cost Formula

True Cost = P&I + Taxes + Insurance + PMI + Maintenance + Utilities + HOA

P&I = Principal & Interest (your actual mortgage payment). Most buyers stop calculating here—but it’s only about 65-75% of the true cost.

Building the Complete Picture: A $400,000 Home

Let’s break down a realistic scenario: a $400,000 home purchase with 10% down ($40,000), a 7% mortgage rate, and average costs for a moderate property tax state.

Principal & Interest (30-year, 7%)$2,395
Property Taxes ($4,800/year ÷ 12)$400
Homeowner’s Insurance ($2,000/year ÷ 12)$167
PMI (0.5% of loan ÷ 12, until 20% equity)$150
PITI Total (what lenders quote)$3,112
Maintenance Reserve (1.5% of value ÷ 12)$500
Utilities (avg. for 2,000 sq ft)$300
HOA (if applicable)$0-$400
True Monthly Cost$3,912 - $4,312

Practical Takeaway

The true monthly cost is 25-40% higher than the P&I payment alone. When a lender tells you your “mortgage payment” will be $2,395, the actual cash flowing out of your account each month for housing will be closer to $4,000.

Cost Comparison Across Price Points

How do these numbers scale? Here’s what true monthly costs look like at three different price points, assuming the same 10% down payment, 7% rate, and moderate-tax location:

Home PriceP&ITaxesInsuranceMaintenanceUtilitiesTrue Total
$300,000$1,580$313$125$250$150$2,418
$400,000$2,106$417$167$300$175$3,165
$500,000$2,633$521$208$350$200$3,912

*Assumes 10% down, 7% rate, 1.2% property tax, $2K insurance, 1.5% maintenance. PMI not included (adds ~$100-175/month until 20% equity).

A Tale of Two Buyers: The Approval Trap

Consider Maya and David, both earning $100,000 annually with similar financial profiles. They approach homebuying very differently.

Maya: The Maximizer

  • • Approved for $450,000, buys at $420,000
  • • Puts down 5% ($21,000)
  • • Monthly PITI: $3,280
  • • True monthly cost: ~$4,400
  • • Housing at 53% of take-home pay

Result after 2 years:

Retirement contributions paused, emergency fund depleted after HVAC replacement, constant financial stress

David: The Strategist

  • • Approved for $450,000, buys at $320,000
  • • Puts down 15% ($48,000)
  • • Monthly PITI: $2,050
  • • True monthly cost: ~$2,700
  • • Housing at 32% of take-home pay

Result after 2 years:

Maxing 401(k), 6-month emergency fund intact, absorbed a $5K roof repair without stress

The Income Percentage Rule of Thumb

A more practical guideline than the 28/36 rule: keep your true monthly housing cost (not just PITI) under 30% of your take-home pay. For someone with $100,000 gross income and $6,500/month take-home, that means a maximum true cost of around $1,950/month—which typically corresponds to a home price of $250,000-$300,000, not the $450,000 a bank might approve.

$75K Gross

Take-home: $4,875/mo

30% = $1,463/mo

Comfortable range: $180K-$220K

$100K Gross

Take-home: $6,500/mo

30% = $1,950/mo

Comfortable range: $250K-$300K

$150K Gross

Take-home: $9,375/mo

30% = $2,813/mo

Comfortable range: $375K-$425K

Practical Takeaway

If a bank approves you for 40% more home than this guideline suggests, that’s not a signal to stretch—it’s a warning that lender incentives don’t align with your long-term financial health.

What It Means for You — Setting a Budget That Fits Your Life

You control more levers than you might think. While you can’t change interest rates or local property taxes, you can make strategic choices that dramatically affect what “affordable” means for your situation.

The Four Levers You Control

1. Purchase Price

The single biggest factor. Every $50,000 less in purchase price saves roughly $350-$400/month in true costs. Buying below your approval amount isn’t settling—it’s strategic.

2. Down Payment

Putting 20% down eliminates PMI ($100-$300/month savings) and reduces your loan amount. But don’t drain emergency savings to hit 20%—PMI might be worth it for financial stability.

3. Location

Property taxes range from 0.3% to 2.5% of home value. A town 20 minutes away might have half the tax rate. Insurance varies by flood zone, fire risk, and state. Research before you fall in love.

4. Timeline

Waiting 12-18 months to save a larger down payment or improve your credit score can reduce your monthly costs by hundreds. Rushing into homeownership often costs more than patience.

Reality Check: The Opportunity Cost of Stretching

When you spend an extra $500/month on housing, that money doesn’t just disappear—it comes from somewhere. For many buyers, it comes from their future selves.

The Hidden Cost of “Stretching”

An extra $500/month toward housing instead of retirement savings costs you roughly $400,000 over 30 years (assuming 7% average returns). That’s not a typo. The opportunity cost of an oversized house is often a delayed retirement or a permanently lower standard of living in your 60s and 70s.

Similarly, depleting your emergency fund for a bigger down payment leaves you vulnerable. When (not if) something breaks, you’ll either go into debt or defer critical repairs—both of which cost more in the long run.

What If You’re in a High-Cost Market?

If you live in San Francisco, New York, Boston, or another expensive metro, the math can feel impossible. Here are realistic options:

  • Expand your geographic search: A 30-minute commute difference might mean $200,000 less in purchase price.
  • Consider a starter home: A smaller condo or townhouse builds equity while keeping costs manageable. You don’t have to buy your forever home first.
  • Be honest about trade-offs: If comfortable homeownership requires 50%+ of your income, you’re not ready to buy in that market yet—and that’s okay. Continuing to rent while saving aggressively is a valid financial strategy.
  • House-hack: Buying a duplex or a home with a rentable unit can offset hundreds per month, but factor in landlord responsibilities.

Pro Tip

Before you start house hunting, calculate your “comfortable max” price using true costs—not just what a lender pre-approves you for. Share this number with your agent upfront. A good agent will respect the boundary; a pushy one who tries to upsell you is revealing their priorities.

What If You’re Already Stretched?

If you’ve already bought and your housing costs feel overwhelming, you have options. Refinancing when rates drop can provide relief. Renting out a room or basement adds income. Aggressively paying down other debts frees up cash flow. In extreme cases, selling and downsizing—while emotionally hard—might be the financially smart move. A house that drains your savings and prevents retirement contributions is a liability, not an asset.

The Bottom Line

True affordability means buying a home that lets you live your life—not just make payments. The right question isn’t “what can I get approved for?” but “what lets me save for retirement, handle emergencies, and still enjoy my weekends?” For most people, that number is significantly below what a bank will offer. Buy for your budget, not their approval.

Try It Out — Find Your Comfortable Price Range

Ready to find your real number? Use the calculator below to see what you can comfortably afford based on your income, debts, and down payment—not just what a lender might approve. Enter your actual numbers and see the complete picture, including the often-overlooked costs that determine true affordability.

Quick Start Calculator

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$

Car loans, student loans, credit cards, etc.

$
%

Assumes 1.02% property tax, $1,500/yr insurance, 28/36 DTI limits. Use the Full Analysis tab to customize these.

Estimated Maximum Home Price

$314,000

Down payment is 19.1% — PMI included

Loan Amount

$254,000

Down Payment

$60,000

(19.1%)

Est. Monthly

$2,103

Front-End DTI29.7%
Back-End DTI36.8%

Monthly Payment Breakdown

What to Look For in the Results

Maximum Comfortable Home Price

This is your target ceiling—the highest price that keeps your total housing costs within a sustainable range. Aim to stay at or below this number, not push past it.

Estimated Monthly Housing Cost

The true all-in number including PITI, maintenance, and utilities. This is what will actually leave your bank account each month—compare it to your take-home pay, not your gross income.

Down Payment Needed

The cash required at closing for your target price. If this exceeds your savings, either save longer or adjust your target price downward.

Debt-to-Income Ratio

Your total monthly debts (including the new housing payment) divided by gross income. Under 36% is comfortable; 36-43% is stretched; above 43% is risky territory.

This calculator provides estimates for educational purposes only. Actual costs vary based on specific lender requirements, local tax rates, insurance quotes, and property conditions. Results do not constitute mortgage pre-approval or financial advice. Consult with a mortgage professional and financial advisor before making home purchase decisions.

Run the Full Analysis

The interactive calculator above is a quick-start version. The full tool offers more inputs, detailed breakdowns, data tables, and CSV export.

Open Full Calculator

Sources

  1. 1.National Association of Realtors, Existing-Home Sales Statistics, 2024
  2. 2.Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, "What is a debt-to-income ratio?"
  3. 3.Federal Housing Finance Agency, House Price Index, Q4 2024
  4. 4.Tax Foundation, State and Local Property Tax Collections Per Capita, 2024
  5. 5.Insurance Information Institute, Facts + Statistics: Homeowners and Renters Insurance, 2024

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This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, or legal advice. Consult a qualified professional for advice tailored to your situation.